Thursday, April 28, 2011

STOB's 2011 NFL Mock Draft: Final Edition 2.0

A little over 8 hours away from when this post is being written, these 32 players will have their lives changed forever. Some will go on to NFL stardom, others will be mocked an ridiculed for being complete busts in 5 years. If you look back at my original Mock Draft you will see a lot of changes, I have reasons for some, hunches for others. For now though here is the final STOB point of view of the NFL Draft.

1. Carolina Panthers – Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

In the NBA, the draft is all about potential. Seniors rarely get picked high due to the idea that they’ve maxed out their potential already and younger players are usually selected earlier. The NFL meanwhile definitely takes potential into their decision, but much less than the NBA. Cam Newton will break that trend in the NFL; he has star power now, but not a polished NFL game. Even so, Cam definitely has the potential to become an impressive NFL QB with his physical abilities. Carolina needs excitement, Cam definitely brings that with potential, even if he isn’t very polished as a passer.

2. Denver Broncos – Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

Many would take Dareus #1 overall, but as we’ve seen so many times before the QB position trumps all. This is Denver’s gift, as they definitely need help on defense. Add Dareus to the Denver defensive line with the return of Dumervil (injured last year) and the Broncos improve greatly from last year.

3. Buffalo Bills – Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M;

The Bills need a lot of different things. I think they like Ryan Fitzpatrick enough to pass on the chance to take, in many people’s opinion, the best QB in the draft Blaine Gabbert in order to address their lack of a pass rush. Miller is a pass rush specialist and will make a difference on the Buffalo’s defense from day 1.

4. Cincinnati Bengals – Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

TO isn’t coming back. So you may think AJ Green is the pick, but Carson Palmer may not be back either if he holds to his word. Cincy can’t throw all of next year, even if it is shortened by a lockout, away at the QB position by trying to call Palmer’s bluff. To protect them if indeed Palmer has played his last game in Cincy, they will be taking the “expert’s” favorite as the best QB in this draft at 4 in Blaine Gabbert.

5. Arizona Cardinals – Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

Arizona hasn’t had a great defense in a while. With Gabbert off the board they will look to address their QB needs later in the draft and take the best prospect available in Peterson.

6. Cleveland Browns – AJ Green, WR, Georgia

Cleveland rejoices with AJ Green falling to them at 6. Green has superstar potential and Cleveland has hopes that QB Colt McCoy will as well when paired with the Georgia stud WR for the next decade.

7. San Francisco 49’ers – Jake Locker, QB, Washington

Harbaugh is coming to the 9’ers from the Pac-10, he played against Locker. It’s a bit high on the board, but a QB coach like Harbaugh can’t pass up the opportunity to get his guy in his first year as the 9’ers head coach. Seems a lot of years a QB’s value increases the day of the draft more than any other position, Thursday will be the same with Locker jumping up the board.

8. Tennessee Titans – Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

After the college season was over, Fairley was the top overall pick in most mock drafts. Now he is falling. I think Fairley gets snatched up by Tennessee, who is looking for him to come in and be the next Albert Haynesworth for them…minus the attitude.

9. Dallas Cowboys – Tyron Smith, OT, USC

Romo needs more protection, so the Cowboys get the best OT on the board in Smith. Wherever Romo is watching the draft when this pick is announced he will smile and rub his once broken clavicle.

10. Washington Redskins –Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

Santana Moss is old. Julio at 10 is a good value. No need to say anymore.

11. Houston Texans – Robert Quinn, DE, UNC

Houston can score a lot of points. They have to improve defensively and Robert Quinn is a stud. Throw him on the other side of Mario Williams and QB’s will no longer be looking forward to carving up the weak secondary of the Texans.

12. Minnesota Vikings –Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

Cedric Griffin’s ACLs keep getting blown up, Antoine Winfield keeps aging and last year’s 2nd round pick Chris Cook had knee issues of his own. In a nut shell, the Vikings need help in the secondary and with Locker off the board will wait for the QB. Look for the Vikes to either trade back into the 1st round or wait until the 2nd round and take whoever is left between Christian Ponder, Andy Dalton and Ryan Mallett.

13. Detroit Lions – Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida

When you think of Matthew Stafford what do you see? I see him always limping or walking off the field with his shoulder separated grimacing. The Lions need to get Stafford more time and try to keep their insanely high paid and unproven QB on the field. Mike Pouncey hopefully can help.

14. St. Louis Rams –Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri

Chris Long has improved, but not to the extent the Rams had hoped. Aldon Smith is the best pass rusher left with Quinn and Miller off the board and will help the Rams make some QBs more uncomfortable.

15. Miami Dolphins – Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

Ronnie Brown is not looking like Ronnie Brown anymore and Ricky Williams is likely on his way out. Ingram may start as a backup to Ronnie but don’t be surprised if he begins taking more and more of the carries as Ronnie’s career slowly fades.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars – Cameron Jordan, DE, Cal

17. New England Patriots – Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

18. San Diego Chargers – Cory Liuget, DT, Illinois

19. NY Giants – Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

20. Tampa Bay –Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

He has fallen a long way and I wanted to put him even further down due to the knee injury. You can only hope that Bowers uses this lower selection as motivation and becomes great like his talent would allow without the knee ever getting in the way. Yet, many scouts say that it isn’t a matter of “if” but a matter of “when” the knee eventually will become an issue for him.

21. Kansas City Chiefs – Muhammed Wilkerson, DT, Temple

22. Indianapolis Colts – Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

23. Philadelphia Eagles – Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado

24. New Orleans Saints – JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin

25. Seattle Seahawks – Andy Dalton, QB, TCU

26. Baltimore Ravens – Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor

27. Atlanta Falcons –Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State

28. New England Patriots – Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas

Surprise pick, Brady isn’t concerned about his job being taken, takes this better than Favre took it in Green Bay with Aaron Rodgers and helps to train his eventual replacement. Mallett gets a stable environment in which he can stay on the straight and narrow and this allows him to flourish with what most think is the most talent of all the QBs in this class. Belichick looks like a genius when Brady retires and he has a well groomed replacement ready to go.

29. Chicago Bears – Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State

30. New York Jets – Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA

31. Pittsburgh Steelers – Aaron Williams, CB, Texas

32. Green Bay Packers – Brooks Reed, OLB, Arizona

Now you know how it will go down. No need to watch the draft Thursday, just listen to one of our podcasts!

Also, STOB would like to thank DC Pro Sports for posting our Mock. You can find other mocks there, but I don't know why you would bother, ours is the best.

Ranked as a "Premium Mock Draft" on The Football Fan Site's NFL Mock Draft Database!

Thanks to Walter Football for listing us on their Mock Draft Database.

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