Tuesday, April 12, 2011

STOB's 2011 NFL Mock Draft

If you listened to the first podcast you heard Big Ken talking about how he isn’t a huge fan of the NFL. I am a fan, while not obsessed in the same way I am about college basketball, I think I can offer some insight on the upcoming NFL Draft. Let’s take a look at the top 15 with some reasons why the pick is made, and then the remainder of the 1st round picks.

Also, STOB would like to thank DC Pro Sports for posting our Mock. You can find other mocks there, but I don't know why you would bother, ours is the best.

1. Carolina Panthers – Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

In the NBA, the draft is all about potential. Seniors rarely get picked high due to the idea that they’ve maxed out their potential already and younger players are usually selected earlier. The NFL meanwhile definitely takes potential into their decision, but much less than the NBA. Cam Newton will break that trend in the NFL; he has star power now, but not a polished NFL game. Even so, Cam definitely has the potential to become an impressive NFL QB with his physical abilities. Carolina needs excitement, Cam definitely brings that with potential, even if he isn’t very polished as a passer.

2. Denver Broncos – Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

Many would take Dareus #1 overall, but as we’ve seen so many times before the QB position trumps all. This is Denver’s gift, as they definitely need help on defense. Add Dareus to the Denver defensive line with the return of Dumervil (injured last year) and the Broncos improve greatly from last year.

3. Buffalo Bills – Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M;

The Bills need a lot of different things. I think they like Ryan Fitzpatrick enough to pass on the chance to take, in many people’s opinion, the best QB in the draft Blaine Gabbert in order to address their lack of a pass rush. Miller is a pass rush specialist and will make a difference on the Buffalo’s defense from day 1.

4. Cincinnati Bengals – Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

TO isn’t coming back. So you may think AJ Green is the pick, but Carson Palmer may not be back either if he holds to his word. Cincy can’t throw all of next year, even if it is shortened by a lockout, away at the QB position by trying to call Palmer’s bluff. To protect them if indeed Palmer has played his last game in Cincy, they will be taking the “expert’s” favorite as the best QB in this draft at 4 in Blaine Gabbert.

5. Arizona Cardinals – AJ Green, WR, Georgia

“Crap.” That is Arizona’s response if indeed Cincy goes with Gabbert at 4. Possibly Arizona trades out of this spot to a team looking to move up to get Patrick Peterson or AJ Green in order to get Jake Locker or another QB lower in the draft. If not, I think they add to their WR arsenal with AJ Green. Scary for secondary’s everywhere imagining covering the trio of Fitzgerald, Green and Breaston…also scary Arizona’s QB situation without addressing it this offseason.

6. Cleveland Browns – Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

Cleveland may have found its QB of the future last year with Colt McCoy. How else to make McCoy even more comfortable than to give him a great route running and physical WR in Julio Jones this year?

7. San Francisco 49’ers – Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

Don’t be shocked if Peterson comes off the board earlier than this. He will be a great contributor to which ever defense he is inserted to, day 1. Due to needs for other teams though, the 49’ers could get lucky and get possibly the best prospect in this draft at 7.

8. Tennessee Titans – Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

After the college season was over, Fairley was the top overall pick in most mock drafts. Now he is falling. I think Fairley gets snatched up by Tennessee, who is looking for him to come in and be the next Albert Haynesworth for them…minus the attitude.

9. Dallas Cowboys – Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

I can definitely see Dallas going O-line with this pick, but the secondary is a need for Dallas that can be addressed with Amukamara. Terrance Newman isn’t getting any younger, and Mike Jenkins can’t always be trusted. Amukamara will add some nice depth.

10. Washington Redskins – Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

Da’Quan was the #1 overall pick as well in a lot of mock drafts earlier this off season. Then came rumors that he may need micro fracture surgery. Now Da’Quan has fallen. Redskins have a choice here to go QB or defense; I think they will toss it up between Bowers and Robert Quinn from UNC. Both have their risks, but Bowers will be the pick.

11. Houston Texans – Robert Quinn, DE, UNC

Houston can score a lot of points. They have to improve defensively and Robert Quinn is a stud. Throw him on the other side of Mario Williams and QB’s will no longer be looking forward to carving up the weak secondary of the Texans.

12. Minnesota Vikings – Jake Locker, QB, Washington

Locker will be Minnesota’s pick. Whether it’s at 12 or after a trade back in the 1st round to the early 20’s, Minnesota will get Locker one way or another. Favre is gone, TJack will be as well, and you can’t have option #1 next year be a guy you drafted a year ago as a WR/Special Teams guy in Joe Webb. Locker could end up being the best QB in this draft.

13. Detroit Lions – Tyron Smith, OT, USC

When you think of Matthew Stafford what do you see? I see him always limping or walking off the field with his shoulder separated grimacing. The Lions need to get Stafford more time and try to keep their insanely high paid and unproven QB on the field. Tyron Smith hopefully can help.

14. St. Louis Rams – Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

Steven Jackson is getting up there in years for a RB, and up to this point hasn’t been the most durable. So St. Louis benefits from the lack of RB needs above them and grabs a good value on Mark Ingram. Ingram will be insurance for Jackson, and eventually Jackson’s replacement in the backfield.

15. Miami Dolphins – Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida

Miami would select Mark Ingram if he dropped to them because Ronnie Brown is not looking like Ronnie Brown anymore and Ricky Williams is likely on his way out. I have St. Louis picking Ingram before them, so now Miami will wait until the later rounds to address their RB need. To help the “to be named later” RB, they grab a great C/Utility Linemen in Mike Pouncey and help their O line.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars – Cameron Jordan, DE, Cal

17. New England Patriots – JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin

18. San Diego Chargers – Cory Liuget, DT, Illinois

19. NY Giants – Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

20. Tampa BayAldon Smith, DE, Missouri

21. Kansas City Chiefs – Muhammed Wilkerson, DT, Temple

22. Indianapolis Colts – Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

23. Philadelphia Eagles – Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

24. New Orleans Saints – Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State

25. Seattle Seahawks – Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado

26. Baltimore Ravens – Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor

27. Atlanta Falcons – Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue

28. New England Patriots – Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State

29. Chicago Bears – Marcus Cannon, OT, TCU

30. New York Jets – Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA

31. Pittsburgh Steelers – Aaron Williams, CB, Texas

32. Green Bay Packers – Brooks Reed, OLB, Arizona

Mock Drafts are all opinion with a sprinkle of knowledge thrown in, tell us what you think the draft will look like!

1 comment :

  1. Well done Ben. All I can say is Mel Kiper better watch his back...cause your commin!!!